OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
24-18-4 | Road
0
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
22-20-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arthur Kaliyev
#34 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Kaliyev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
RANGERS
0%
SENATORS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
OTT By 1 goal
14.4%
OTT By 2-3 goals
12.6%
NYR By 1 goal
19.4%
NYR By 2-3 goals
25.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.46
OTTAWA
New York
3.07
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Senators (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
OTT @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 14, 2026
OTT @ NYR
8 - 4
Dec 4, 2025
NYR @ OTT
4 - 2
Mar 8, 2025
NYR @ OTT
3 - 4
Jan 21, 2025
OTT @ NYR
0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+26.0% more
New York: 7.2
vs
Ottawa: 5.7
Power Play % (L5)
+16.7%
New York: 27.8%
vs
Ottawa: 11.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
New York: 53.6%
vs
Ottawa: 48.7%
Hits (L5)
+26.3% more
Ottawa: 24.8
vs
New York: 18.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.5
0
NYR Score
3.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 14.8
17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
53.6 / 48.7
54.7 / 45.3
Hits
18.3 / 24.8
19.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
27.8 / 11.1
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 28.0
29.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
7.2 / 5.7
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
OTT
NYR
OTT
ML
80%
4-1
0%
0-3
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
0%
0-3
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
TTL
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
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