CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
28-16-3 | Road
2
DALLAS
STARSDAL
29-16-1 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 1.00 | 0.957 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.07 | 0.895 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.07
0.957 Ldr
Save %
0.895
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
STARS
0%
HURRICANES
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
CAR By 1 goal
16.2%
CAR By 2-3 goals
15.8%
DAL By 1 goal
18.5%
DAL By 2-3 goals
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
2.89
CAROLINA
Dallas
3.16
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Dallas
5
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 6, 2026
DAL @ CAR
3 - 6
Oct 25, 2025
CAR @ DAL
2 - 3
Jan 21, 2025
CAR @ DAL
2 - 1
Nov 25, 2024
DAL @ CAR
4 - 6
Feb 24, 2024
DAL @ CAR
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+49.7%
Dallas: 54.9%
vs
Carolina: 5.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.1% more
Dallas: 15.2
vs
Carolina: 12.4
Takeaways (L5)
+20.8% more
Dallas: 5.3
vs
Carolina: 4.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.6% more
Carolina: 36.9
vs
Dallas: 27.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
2.9
2
DAL Score
3.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 12.4
17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
55.9 / 57.3
52.0 / 48.0
Hits
15.6 / 18.3
23.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
5490.0 / 524.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.8 / 36.9
23.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.4
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
CAR
DAL
CAR
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
3-0
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
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