PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
21-20 | Road
92
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
35-6 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
SUNS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
26.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
17.0%
CLE By 1-7 points
24.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
13.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
119.72
PHOENIX
Cleveland
118.66
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Phoenix
105
PHOENIX
Cleveland
109
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
CLE @ PHX
113 - 126
Dec 31, 2025
PHX @ CLE
113 - 129
Mar 21, 2025
CLE @ PHX
112 - 123
Jan 20, 2025
PHX @ CLE
92 - 118
Apr 3, 2024
CLE @ PHX
101 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+40.4% more
Phoenix: 8.0
vs
Cleveland: 4.8
Blocks (L5)
+11.7% more
Phoenix: 4.1
vs
Cleveland: 3.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Phoenix: 50.5%
vs
Cleveland: 46.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Phoenix: 36.7%
vs
Cleveland: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
119.7
92
CLE Score
118.7
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 36.7
41.3 / 38.5
Assists
28.6 / 28.5
27.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.1
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 50.5
43.2 / 46.8
Free Throw %
85.1 / 79.1
73.9 / 76.9
Rebounding
46.6 / 44.5
50.0 / 34.0
Steals
4.8 / 8.0
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 12.5
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
PHX
CLE
PHX
ML
60%
69-46
57%
60-45
56%
55-44
51%
45-43
ATS
67%
75-37-3
58%
59-43-3
56%
55-44
51%
45-43
TTL
59%
68-47
59%
61-42-2
100%
99-0
100%
88-0
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