AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
BULLS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.1
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.1 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -12.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
CHI By 1-7 points
7.9%
CHI By 8-14 points
2.1%
LAC By 1-7 points
20.0%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
110.2
CHICAGO
LA
122.27
LA
Simulated Score
Chicago
102
CHICAGO
LA
114
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.1
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
CHI @ LAC
108 - 119
Jan 20, 2026
LAC @ CHI
110 - 138
Feb 26, 2025
LAC @ CHI
122 - 117
Jan 20, 2025
CHI @ LAC
112 - 99
Mar 14, 2024
LAC @ CHI
126 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.3% more
LA: 10.9
vs
Chicago: 8.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
LA: 37.4%
vs
Chicago: 32.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
LA: 51.5%
vs
Chicago: 46.6%
Blocks (L5)
+17.8% more
Chicago: 5.3
vs
LA: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
110.2
112
LAC Score
122.3
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 32.0
21.4 / 32.6
Assists
25.0 / 26.9
24.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.4 / 5.3
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 46.6
39.4 / 40.4
Free Throw %
77.7 / 85.8
94.1 / 80.8
Rebounding
44.0 / 44.8
40.0 / 54.0
Steals
10.9 / 8.3
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 15.4
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
CHI
LAC
CHI
ML
60%
59-40
56%
54-42
55%
45-37
57%
46-35
ATS
66%
65-33-1
65%
62-33-1
55%
45-37
57%
46-35
TTL
59%
58-40-1
58%
56-40
100%
82-0
100%
81-0