MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
27-15-4 | Road
3
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
28-18-1 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Marc-Andre Fleury
#29 | G@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 3.19 | 0.885 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.19
0.963 Ldr
Save %
0.885
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
WILD
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
MIN By 1 goal
7.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
4.7%
COL By 1 goal
18.4%
COL By 2-3 goals
36.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
1.97
MINNESOTA
Colorado
3.74
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.8
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 13, 2026
MIN @ COL
3 - 4
May 11, 2026
COL @ MIN
5 - 2
May 9, 2026
COL @ MIN
1 - 5
May 5, 2026
MIN @ COL
2 - 5
May 3, 2026
MIN @ COL
6 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.1% more
Colorado: 29.6
vs
Minnesota: 27.2
Hits (L5)
+14.1% more
Minnesota: 19.6
vs
Colorado: 16.9
Power Play % (L5)
+12.7%
Minnesota: 24.9%
vs
Colorado: 12.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+8.3% more
Minnesota: 4.8
vs
Colorado: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.0
3
COL Score
3.7
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.0 / 14.3
9.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
42.0 / 47.9
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
16.9 / 19.6
16.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
1219.0 / 2485.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 27.2
27.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 4.8
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIN
COL
MIN
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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