CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
18-24 | Road
102
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
13-28 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
BULLS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.9
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.9 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -9.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
23.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
27.2%
POR By 1-7 points
10.8%
POR By 8-14 points
3.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
117.4
CHICAGO
Portland
107.51
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
104
CHICAGO
Portland
111
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.9
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
POR @ CHI
121 - 112
Nov 19, 2025
CHI @ POR
122 - 121
Apr 4, 2025
POR @ CHI
113 - 118
Jan 19, 2025
CHI @ POR
102 - 113
Mar 18, 2024
POR @ CHI
107 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+17.0% more
Chicago: 49.1
vs
Portland: 40.8
Assists (L5)
+16.3% more
Chicago: 29.8
vs
Portland: 24.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Chicago: 86.3%
vs
Portland: 78.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Chicago: 47.7%
vs
Portland: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
117.4
102
POR Score
107.5
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 34.2
29.0 / 27.6
Assists
24.9 / 29.8
21.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.7 / 4.5
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 47.7
47.2 / 44.4
Free Throw %
78.3 / 86.3
80.0 / 84.6
Rebounding
40.8 / 49.1
50.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.5
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
17.1 / 15.2
18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
CHI
POR
CHI
ML
53%
56-49
56%
54-42
55%
49-40
57%
46-35
ATS
62%
65-39-1
65%
62-33-1
55%
49-40
57%
46-35
TTL
56%
58-46-1
58%
56-40
100%
89-0
100%
81-0
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