DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
21-20-4 | Road
1
DALLAS
STARSDAL
28-16-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 1.00 | 0.971 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.971
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
STARS
0%
RED WINGS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DET By 1 goal
9.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
6.5%
DAL By 1 goal
19.3%
DAL By 2-3 goals
33.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.75
DETROIT
Dallas
4.18
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Dallas
5
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
DET @ DAL
2 - 3
Dec 23, 2025
DAL @ DET
3 - 4
Apr 14, 2025
DAL @ DET
4 - 6
Jan 19, 2025
DET @ DAL
1 - 4
Jan 23, 2024
DAL @ DET
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+41.4% more
Dallas: 4.4
vs
Detroit: 3.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.4% more
Dallas: 15.3
vs
Detroit: 12.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.9%
Dallas: 54.2%
vs
Detroit: 50.3%
Hits (L5)
+28.9% more
Detroit: 19.5
vs
Dallas: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.8
1
DAL Score
4.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 12.4
15.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
54.2 / 50.3
59.4 / 40.6
Hits
13.9 / 19.5
19.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
32.4 / 37.3
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 29.5
25.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.1
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
DET
DAL
DET
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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