PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
15-24 | Road
102
INDIANA
PACERSIND
23-19 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
PACERS
0%
76ERS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
PHI By 1-7 points
25.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
15.2%
IND By 1-7 points
25.4%
IND By 8-14 points
15.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
114.59
PHILADELPHIA
Indiana
114.63
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Indiana
109
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pacers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
PHI @ IND
105 - 94
Feb 24, 2026
PHI @ IND
135 - 114
Jan 19, 2026
IND @ PHI
104 - 113
Dec 12, 2025
IND @ PHI
105 - 115
Mar 14, 2025
IND @ PHI
112 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+92.1% more
Indiana: 5.8
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+25.8% more
Indiana: 29.3
vs
Philadelphia: 23.3
Steals (L5)
+21.0% more
Indiana: 10.7
vs
Philadelphia: 8.8
Rebounding (L5)
+18.1% more
Indiana: 42.3
vs
Philadelphia: 35.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
114.6
102
IND Score
114.6
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 35.8
32.4 / 29.4
Assists
29.3 / 23.3
30.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.8 / 3.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 46.7
53.0 / 42.7
Free Throw %
71.9 / 87.8
69.6 / 72.7
Rebounding
42.3 / 35.8
50.0 / 32.0
Steals
10.7 / 8.8
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 14.8
18.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
PHI
IND
PHI
ML
48%
47-50
63%
69-40
54%
45-38
48%
45-48
ATS
59%
57-40
65%
71-38
54%
45-38
48%
45-48
TTL
54%
52-45
55%
60-49
100%
83-0
100%
93-0
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