CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
21-16-7 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
31-12-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dylan Samberg
#54 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 1.00 | 0.974 | -- |
| Dylan Samberg | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.974
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
JETS
0%
FLAMES
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
CGY By 1 goal
10.9%
CGY By 2-3 goals
7.9%
WPG By 1 goal
19.6%
WPG By 2-3 goals
31.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.3
CALGARY
Winnipeg
3.5
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
WPG @ CGY
4 - 3
Oct 24, 2025
CGY @ WPG
3 - 5
Oct 20, 2025
WPG @ CGY
2 - 1
Oct 3, 2025
WPG @ CGY
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CGY @ WPG
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+40.4% more
Winnipeg: 17.5
vs
Calgary: 12.5
Power Play % (L5)
+31.1%
Winnipeg: 37.2%
vs
Calgary: 6.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.1%
Winnipeg: 50.1%
vs
Calgary: 46.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+10.3% more
Calgary: 4.8
vs
Winnipeg: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.3
3
WPG Score
3.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.5 / 12.5
17.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
50.1 / 46.0
51.1 / 48.9
Hits
21.6 / 20.3
11.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
37.2 / 6.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.8 / 29.1
39.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.8
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
CGY
WPG
CGY
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
