Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 2.00 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
CANUCKS
100%
OILERS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.3%
VAN By 1 goal
12.3%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.98
EDMONTON
Vancouver
2.01
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
EDM @ VAN
9 - 7
Sep 29, 2026
VAN @ EDM
6 - 5
Apr 16, 2026
VAN @ EDM
1 - 6
Jan 17, 2026
EDM @ VAN
6 - 0
Oct 26, 2025
EDM @ VAN
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+34.3%
Edmonton: 38.8%
vs
Vancouver: 4.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+33.7% more
Edmonton: 32.3
vs
Vancouver: 21.4
Takeaways (L5)
+21.5% more
Edmonton: 4.7
vs
Vancouver: 3.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.5%
Edmonton: 49.7%
vs
Vancouver: 47.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
2
VAN Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 13.9
13.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
47.2 / 49.7
57.7 / 42.3
Hits
25.9 / 13.1
18.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
4.4 / 38.8
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
21.4 / 32.3
27.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 4.7
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
EDM
VAN
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3