ORLANDO
MAGICORL
23-19 | Road
94
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
28-12 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
CELTICS
0%
MAGIC
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
ORL By 1-7 points
15.9%
ORL By 8-14 points
6.2%
BOS By 1-7 points
26.5%
BOS By 8-14 points
25.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
100.78
ORLANDO
Boston
107.4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Orlando
103
ORLANDO
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.6
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 208.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
ORL @ BOS
108 - 113
Nov 23, 2025
ORL @ BOS
129 - 138
Nov 9, 2025
BOS @ ORL
111 - 107
Nov 7, 2025
BOS @ ORL
110 - 123
Apr 29, 2025
ORL @ BOS
89 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.5% more
Boston: 7.1
vs
Orlando: 5.1
Rebounding (L5)
+19.3% more
Boston: 46.3
vs
Orlando: 38.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Boston: 32.4%
vs
Orlando: 28.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Boston: 42.8%
vs
Orlando: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
100.8
94
BOS Score
107.4
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 28.1
45.9 / 15.6
Assists
23.8 / 23.0
25.0 / 15.0
Blocks
7.1 / 5.1
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 41.2
52.5 / 41.5
Free Throw %
70.7 / 70.4
90.9 / 67.7
Rebounding
46.3 / 38.8
41.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.4 / 9.9
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.9
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
ORL
BOS
ORL
ML
57%
61-46
61%
65-42
53%
47-41
56%
51-40
ATS
59%
61-43-3
64%
68-38-1
53%
47-41
56%
51-40
TTL
56%
60-47
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
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