CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
9-28 | Road
125
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
18-23 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
BULLS
0%
HORNETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHA By 1-7 points
12.1%
CHA By 8-14 points
4.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
26.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
106.85
CHARLOTTE
Chicago
115.86
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
CHA @ CHI
131 - 99
Jan 3, 2026
CHA @ CHI
112 - 99
Dec 12, 2025
CHI @ CHA
129 - 126
Nov 28, 2025
CHI @ CHA
116 - 123
Apr 6, 2025
CHI @ CHA
131 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+12.7% more
Chicago: 5.2
vs
Charlotte: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.7%
Chicago: 83.0%
vs
Charlotte: 76.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Chicago: 33.7%
vs
Charlotte: 32.1%
Steals (L5)
+16.0% more
Charlotte: 8.0
vs
Chicago: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
106.9
125
CHI Score
115.9
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 32.1
35.0 / 38.2
Assists
27.7 / 25.7
34.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.7
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 45.6
50.5 / 50.0
Free Throw %
83.0 / 76.4
92.9 / 80.0
Rebounding
51.2 / 49.5
45.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.8 / 8.0
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 16.5
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CHA
CHI
CHA
ML
56%
54-42
61%
60-39
57%
46-35
48%
40-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
60%
59-40
57%
46-35
48%
40-44
TTL
58%
56-40
58%
57-42
100%
81-0
100%
84-0
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