LA
CLIPPERSLAC
22-17 | Road
118
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
13-26 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.2
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.2 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -6.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.7%
LAC By 8-14 points
24.5%
POR By 1-7 points
16.6%
POR By 8-14 points
6.6%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
112.34
LA
Portland
106.14
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
LA
115
LA
Portland
119
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.2
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
LAC @ POR
97 - 116
Mar 31, 2026
POR @ LAC
114 - 104
Dec 26, 2025
LAC @ POR
119 - 103
Oct 26, 2025
POR @ LAC
107 - 114
Jan 16, 2025
LAC @ POR
118 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.9% more
LA: 10.9
vs
Portland: 7.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
LA: 48.1%
vs
Portland: 45.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
LA: 78.8%
vs
Portland: 75.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+12.0% more
Portland: 16.3
vs
LA: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
112.3
118
POR Score
106.1
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 34.9
26.5 / 43.5
Assists
23.1 / 24.5
24.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.9 / 4.8
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 48.1
37.4 / 56.4
Free Throw %
75.9 / 78.8
92.3 / 74.1
Rebounding
43.3 / 45.6
37.0 / 50.0
Steals
7.3 / 10.9
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 14.5
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
LAC
POR
LAC
ML
53%
56-49
60%
59-40
55%
49-40
55%
45-37
ATS
62%
65-39-1
66%
65-33-1
55%
49-40
55%
45-37
TTL
56%
58-46-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
89-0
100%
82-0
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