ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
20-19 | Road
110
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
18-22 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
BULLS
0%
HAWKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.4
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.4 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -7.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
ATL By 1-7 points
14.6%
ATL By 8-14 points
5.4%
CHI By 1-7 points
25.9%
CHI By 8-14 points
25.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
114.98
ATLANTA
Chicago
122.41
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
115
ATLANTA
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.4
D
Sim
Hawks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 237.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
CHI @ ATL
126 - 123
Dec 21, 2025
CHI @ ATL
152 - 150
Oct 27, 2025
ATL @ CHI
123 - 128
Jan 15, 2025
ATL @ CHI
110 - 94
Dec 26, 2024
CHI @ ATL
133 - 141
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+16.5% more
Chicago: 5.4
vs
Atlanta: 4.6
Rebounding (L5)
+13.8% more
Chicago: 50.3
vs
Atlanta: 44.2
Steals (L5)
+24.1% more
Atlanta: 10.1
vs
Chicago: 7.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Atlanta: 79.7%
vs
Chicago: 74.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
115.0
110
CHI Score
122.4
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 40.0
22.2 / 30.2
Assists
30.0 / 28.2
23.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.6
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 45.9
44.3 / 41.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 79.7
100.0 / 68.2
Rebounding
50.3 / 44.2
53.0 / 51.0
Steals
7.6 / 10.1
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 13.4
20.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
ATL
CHI
ATL
ML
56%
54-42
50%
52-52
57%
46-35
55%
48-40
ATS
65%
62-33-1
53%
55-48-1
57%
46-35
55%
48-40
TTL
58%
56-40
53%
55-48-1
100%
81-0
100%
88-0
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