EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
27-13-3 | Road
5
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
27-13-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Travis Dermott
#24 | D@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Dermott | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 5.21 | 0.861 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
5.21
--
Save %
0.861
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
WILD
100%
OILERS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
18.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
22.2%
MIN By 1 goal
15.9%
MIN By 2-3 goals
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.92
EDMONTON
Minnesota
2.6
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
MIN @ EDM
7 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
EDM @ MIN
2 - 5
Dec 2, 2025
MIN @ EDM
1 - 0
Jan 15, 2025
EDM @ MIN
5 - 3
Dec 12, 2024
EDM @ MIN
7 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+33.7% more
Edmonton: 33.7
vs
Minnesota: 22.3
Power Play % (L5)
+33.4%
Edmonton: 37.3%
vs
Minnesota: 3.8%
Hits (L5)
+51.3% more
Minnesota: 22.1
vs
Edmonton: 14.6
Takeaways (L5)
+41.0% more
Minnesota: 6.6
vs
Edmonton: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.9
5
MIN Score
2.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 14.9
10.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
50.4 / 50.5
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
22.1 / 14.6
20.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
3.8 / 37.3
66.7 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
22.3 / 33.7
34.0 / 36.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 4.7
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
EDM
MIN
EDM
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
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