Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Pacers CLE @ IND

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

33-5  |  Road

127
FINAL
Tue, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

22-18  |  Home

117
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
📊
PACERS
0%
CAVALIERS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
245.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Indiana)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

49.0%

Pacers Cover

51.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

CLE By 1-7 points

25.1%

CLE By 8-14 points

14.9%

IND By 1-7 points

25.6%

IND By 8-14 points

15.7%

AI Model Projected Score
122.35
CLEVELAND
122.6
INDIANA
Simulated Score
120
CLEVELAND
115
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pacers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.3
D
Sim Cavaliers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 245.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 IND @ CLE 108 - 117
Jan 6, 2026 CLE @ IND 120 - 116
Dec 1, 2025 CLE @ IND 135 - 119
Nov 21, 2025 IND @ CLE 109 - 120
May 13, 2025 IND @ CLE 114 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +53.1% more
Indiana: 9.3 vs Cleveland: 6.1
Blocks (L5) +29.7% more
Indiana: 5.6 vs Cleveland: 4.4
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Indiana: 49.6% vs Cleveland: 47.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +12.2%
Cleveland: 80.9% vs Indiana: 68.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 122.4 127
IND Score 122.6 117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 35.4 42.9 / 34.1
Assists 29.9 / 29.7 30.0 / 25.0
Blocks 5.6 / 4.4 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 47.4 48.4 / 48.3
Free Throw % 68.7 / 80.9 77.3 / 83.9
Rebounding 46.6 / 43.2 37.0 / 49.0
Steals 9.3 / 6.1 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 12.4 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
IND Advantage
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
CLE
IND
CLE
ML
48% 47-50
60% 69-46
54% 45-38
56% 55-44
ATS
59% 57-40
67% 75-37-3
54% 45-38
56% 55-44
TTL
54% 52-45
59% 68-47
100% 83-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
kcci 19 hours, 35 minutes ago
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…
bleacherreport 1 day, 7 hours ago
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
yahoo 1 day, 13 hours ago
Stephen A. Smith Sounds Alarm: James Dolan Could Derail Knicks' …
yahoo 2 days, 7 hours ago
From Diamond to Broadcast Booth: Detroit's Legacy of Great Athle…
freep 2 days, 13 hours ago