AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
NETS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
BKN By 1-7 points
23.1%
BKN By 8-14 points
12.3%
POR By 1-7 points
26.8%
POR By 8-14 points
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
102.51
BROOKLYN
Portland
104.44
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Portland
102
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 207.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
BKN @ POR
99 - 134
Mar 16, 2026
POR @ BKN
114 - 95
Feb 28, 2025
POR @ BKN
121 - 102
Jan 14, 2025
BKN @ POR
132 - 114
Jan 17, 2024
BKN @ POR
103 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.1% more
Portland: 5.8
vs
Brooklyn: 4.3
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
Portland: 15.9
vs
Brooklyn: 14.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Portland: 36.0%
vs
Brooklyn: 29.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Portland: 44.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 41.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
102.5
132
POR Score
104.4
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 29.8
44.7 / 46.3
Assists
24.7 / 25.0
20.0 / 36.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.3
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 41.9
45.3 / 54.4
Free Throw %
74.2 / 74.4
79.2 / 83.3
Rebounding
46.0 / 45.5
38.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.0 / 7.4
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 14.5
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
BKN
POR
BKN
ML
53%
56-49
53%
50-45
55%
49-40
59%
48-34
ATS
62%
65-39-1
52%
48-44-3
55%
49-40
59%
48-34
TTL
56%
58-46-1
57%
54-41
100%
89-0
100%
82-0