ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
18-20-5 | Road
0
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
28-10-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pavel Mintyukov
#98 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Mintyukov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
DUCKS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
ANA By 1 goal
14.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
12.2%
WSH By 1 goal
19.4%
WSH By 2-3 goals
25.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.25
ANAHEIM
Washington
2.9
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Washington
5
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 5, 2026
ANA @ WSH
4 - 7
Dec 5, 2025
WSH @ ANA
3 - 4
Mar 11, 2025
WSH @ ANA
7 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
ANA @ WSH
0 - 3
Jan 16, 2024
ANA @ WSH
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+32.9% more
Washington: 4.2
vs
Anaheim: 3.2
Power Play % (L5)
+28.4%
Washington: 35.7%
vs
Anaheim: 7.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.7%
Washington: 51.0%
vs
Anaheim: 46.3%
Hits (L5)
+31.5% more
Anaheim: 27.4
vs
Washington: 18.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.3
0
WSH Score
2.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.9 / 21.0
14.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.0 / 46.3
53.5 / 46.5
Hits
18.8 / 27.4
6.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
3566.0 / 729.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
20.0 / 23.2
25.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 3.2
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
ANA
WSH
ANA
ML
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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