OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
21-18-3 | Road
2
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
17-18-7 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Marcus Hogberg
#50 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Marcus Hogberg | None-None | 1.02 | 0.962 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.02
--
Save %
0.962
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
SENATORS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
OTT By 1 goal
15.4%
OTT By 2-3 goals
14.4%
NYI By 1 goal
18.9%
NYI By 2-3 goals
23.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.2
OTTAWA
New York
2.62
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
OTT @ NYI
3 - 0
Mar 19, 2026
NYI @ OTT
2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025
NYI @ OTT
5 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
OTT @ NYI
2 - 0
Dec 8, 2024
NYI @ OTT
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+56.3% more
New York: 19.6
vs
Ottawa: 12.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.9% more
New York: 30.2
vs
Ottawa: 27.0
Hits (L5)
+21.6% more
Ottawa: 25.5
vs
New York: 20.0
Power Play % (L5)
+18.4%
Ottawa: 18.6%
vs
New York: 0.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.2
2
NYI Score
2.6
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.6 / 12.5
15.0 / 24.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 53.5
60.7 / 39.3
Hits
20.0 / 25.5
22.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
19.0 / 1860.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.2 / 27.0
24.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 3.9
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
OTT
NYI
OTT
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0-1
67%
2-1
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