NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
20-20-2 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
26-17-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.80 | 0.885 | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 1.90 | 0.931 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.80
GAA
Ldr 1.90
0.885
Save %
Ldr 0.931
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
AVALANCHE
100%
RANGERS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
18.2%
NYR By 2-3 goals
20.7%
COL By 1 goal
16.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.66
NEW YORK
Colorado
2.47
COLORADO
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
COL @ NYR
3 - 2
Nov 20, 2025
NYR @ COL
3 - 6
Jan 26, 2025
COL @ NYR
5 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
NYR @ COL
2 - 3
Mar 28, 2024
NYR @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+52.6%
New York: 56.2%
vs
Colorado: 3.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+33.9% more
New York: 18.6
vs
Colorado: 12.3
Hits (L5)
+13.8% more
New York: 21.7
vs
Colorado: 18.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
New York: 48.0%
vs
Colorado: 43.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.7
2
COL Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.3 / 18.6
10.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
43.1 / 48.0
37.0 / 63.0
Hits
18.7 / 21.7
17.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
367.0 / 5622.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 29.1
26.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 3.7
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
NYR
COL
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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