SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
19-19 | Road
124
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
18-20 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
BULLS
100%
KINGS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
26.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
18.1%
CHI By 1-7 points
23.4%
CHI By 8-14 points
12.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
118.59
SACRAMENTO
Chicago
116.9
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Sacramento
123
SACRAMENTO
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim
Kings (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 235.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
CHI @ SAC
110 - 126
Oct 29, 2025
SAC @ CHI
113 - 126
Mar 20, 2025
CHI @ SAC
128 - 116
Jan 12, 2025
SAC @ CHI
124 - 119
Mar 4, 2024
CHI @ SAC
113 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+11.9% more
Sacramento: 6.3
vs
Chicago: 5.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.9%
Sacramento: 84.9%
vs
Chicago: 74.0%
Steals (L5)
+8.8% more
Sacramento: 10.1
vs
Chicago: 9.2
Turnovers (L5)
+13.3% more
Chicago: 15.4
vs
Sacramento: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
118.6
124
CHI Score
116.9
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 37.4
48.6 / 33.3
Assists
31.3 / 28.3
26.0 / 33.0
Blocks
5.6 / 6.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 45.3
46.2 / 49.5
Free Throw %
74.0 / 84.9
75.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
47.9 / 51.3
45.0 / 53.0
Steals
9.2 / 10.1
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 13.6
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
SAC
CHI
SAC
ML
56%
54-42
55%
55-45
57%
46-35
61%
50-32
ATS
65%
62-33-1
54%
52-45-3
57%
46-35
61%
50-32
TTL
58%
56-40
58%
57-42-1
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up