PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
15-21 | Road
99
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
22-18 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
MAGIC
0%
76ERS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
PHI By 1-7 points
24.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
14.5%
ORL By 1-7 points
25.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
105.06
PHILADELPHIA
Orlando
105.57
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Orlando
117
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.5
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 210.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
ORL @ PHI
97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026
PHI @ ORL
103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025
ORL @ PHI
144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025
ORL @ PHI
124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025
ORL @ PHI
128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+18.8% more
Orlando: 13.0
vs
Philadelphia: 11.0
Blocks (L5)
+18.3% more
Orlando: 6.2
vs
Philadelphia: 5.2
Steals (L5)
+8.9% more
Philadelphia: 8.3
vs
Orlando: 7.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Philadelphia: 79.8%
vs
Orlando: 71.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
105.1
99
ORL Score
105.6
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 36.2
23.3 / 41.4
Assists
22.2 / 22.5
23.0 / 17.0
Blocks
6.2 / 5.2
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 45.5
48.8 / 45.8
Free Throw %
71.0 / 79.8
67.9 / 95.5
Rebounding
42.9 / 40.6
41.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.6 / 8.3
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 11.0
17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
PHI
ORL
PHI
ML
61%
65-42
63%
69-40
56%
51-40
48%
45-48
ATS
64%
68-38-1
65%
71-38
56%
51-40
48%
45-48
TTL
57%
61-46
55%
60-49
100%
91-0
100%
93-0
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