ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
17-20-5 | Road
3
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
26-15-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 1.94 | 0.946 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 2.97 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.94 Ldr
GAA
2.97
0.946 Ldr
Save %
0.850
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
DUCKS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
ANA By 1 goal
15.2%
ANA By 2-3 goals
13.9%
CAR By 1 goal
19.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
23.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.33
ANAHEIM
Carolina
2.8
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
ANA @ CAR
2 - 5
Oct 16, 2025
CAR @ ANA
4 - 1
Mar 23, 2025
CAR @ ANA
5 - 2
Jan 12, 2025
ANA @ CAR
3 - 2
Jan 11, 2024
ANA @ CAR
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.1% more
Carolina: 28.0
vs
Anaheim: 24.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.1%
Carolina: 51.4%
vs
Anaheim: 49.3%
Hits (L5)
+43.0% more
Anaheim: 28.1
vs
Carolina: 16.0
Takeaways (L5)
+29.2% more
Anaheim: 4.7
vs
Carolina: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.3
3
CAR Score
2.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 17.6
8.0 / 28.0
Faceoff %
51.4 / 49.3
59.7 / 40.3
Hits
16.0 / 28.1
32.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
1.6 / 10.9
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 24.7
37.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 4.7
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
ANA
CAR
ANA
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
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