DALLAS
STARSDAL
27-13-1 | Road
2
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
20-18-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 3.16 | 0.889 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.16
GAA
--
0.889
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
SENATORS
100%
STARS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
17.9%
DAL By 2-3 goals
19.7%
OTT By 1 goal
17.0%
OTT By 2-3 goals
17.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
2.98
DALLAS
Ottawa
2.88
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Dallas
5
DALLAS
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
OTT @ DAL
1 - 6
Nov 11, 2025
DAL @ OTT
3 - 2
Jan 12, 2025
DAL @ OTT
2 - 3
Jan 2, 2025
OTT @ DAL
2 - 4
Feb 22, 2024
DAL @ OTT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.2% more
Dallas: 31.8
vs
Ottawa: 26.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.7% more
Dallas: 16.2
vs
Ottawa: 13.8
Hits (L5)
+178.1% more
Ottawa: 26.3
vs
Dallas: 9.4
Power Play % (L5)
+11.0%
Ottawa: 27.9%
vs
Dallas: 16.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
2
OTT Score
2.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 16.2
10.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 52.6
58.2 / 41.8
Hits
26.3 / 9.4
24.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
27.9 / 16.9
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 31.8
27.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 5.0
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
DAL
OTT
DAL
ML
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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