TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
8-30 | Road
114
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
19-19 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
PISTONS
0%
RAPTORS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
TOR By 1-7 points
23.4%
TOR By 8-14 points
12.5%
DET By 1-7 points
26.7%
DET By 8-14 points
18.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
111.6
TORONTO
Detroit
113.35
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Toronto
113
TORONTO
Detroit
108
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
Raptors (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
TOR @ DET
116 - 127
Mar 15, 2026
DET @ TOR
108 - 119
Feb 11, 2026
DET @ TOR
113 - 95
Apr 4, 2025
DET @ TOR
117 - 105
Jan 11, 2025
TOR @ DET
114 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+67.9% more
Detroit: 6.0
vs
Toronto: 3.6
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Detroit: 43.1
vs
Toronto: 36.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
Detroit: 74.5%
vs
Toronto: 65.7%
Assists (L5)
+12.3% more
Toronto: 29.5
vs
Detroit: 25.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
111.6
114
DET Score
113.4
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 38.2
57.6 / 42.1
Assists
25.9 / 29.5
35.0 / 27.0
Blocks
6.0 / 3.6
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 51.6
52.4 / 43.5
Free Throw %
74.5 / 65.7
76.2 / 66.7
Rebounding
43.1 / 36.8
46.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.8 / 8.8
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 14.9
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
TOR
DET
TOR
ML
55%
64-53
55%
57-47
49%
47-49
55%
48-39
ATS
53%
60-54-3
61%
62-40-2
49%
47-49
55%
48-39
TTL
60%
70-46-1
60%
62-42
100%
96-0
100%
87-0
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