Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Panthers BOS @ FLA

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

20-19-5  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Jan 11 • 1:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

25-15-2  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 2.77 0.930 --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.77 GAA --
0.930 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
BRUINS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Florida)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

40.1%

Panthers Cover

59.9%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

BOS By 1 goal

15.0%

BOS By 2-3 goals

13.6%

FLA By 1 goal

19.1%

FLA By 2-3 goals

24.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1.82
BOSTON
2.32
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
3
BOSTON
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 BOS @ FLA 1 - 2
Feb 4, 2026 BOS @ FLA 4 - 5
Oct 21, 2025 FLA @ BOS 4 - 3
Mar 11, 2025 FLA @ BOS 2 - 3
Jan 11, 2025 BOS @ FLA 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +39.9%
Florida: 40.6% vs Boston: 0.8%
Takeaways (L5) +39.4% more
Boston: 7.3 vs Florida: 4.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +20.2% more
Boston: 17.7 vs Florida: 14.1
Hits (L5) +12.4% more
Boston: 32.6 vs Florida: 28.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 1.8 4
FLA Score 2.3 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.1 / 17.7 9.0 / 29.0
Faceoff % 51.0 / 50.3 56.9 / 43.1
Hits 28.6 / 32.6 30.0 / 42.0
Power Play % 40.6 / 0.8 33.3 / 40.0
Shots on Goal 30.4 / 28.3 43.0 / 18.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 7.3 8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
95%MONEY5%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
BOS
FLA
BOS
ML
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 1 hour, 30 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 1 hour, 33 minutes ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 7 hours ago
Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
theathleticuk 1 day, 19 hours ago
Brad Marchand Injured as Panthers' Injury Woes Deepen
miamiherald 1 day, 19 hours ago