WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
27-10-5 | Road
4
NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
13-21-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 3.07 | 0.800 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.07
0.970 Ldr
Save %
0.800
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
PREDATORS
0%
CAPITALS
--
PREDATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Nashville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
WSH By 1 goal
11.6%
WSH By 2-3 goals
8.7%
NSH By 1 goal
19.7%
NSH By 2-3 goals
30.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
2.29
WASHINGTON
Nashville
3.38
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Predators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Predators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Capitals (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
NSH @ WSH
2 - 4
Jan 11, 2026
WSH @ NSH
2 - 3
Jan 11, 2025
WSH @ NSH
4 - 1
Nov 6, 2024
NSH @ WSH
2 - 3
Dec 30, 2023
NSH @ WSH
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.6% more
Nashville: 28.1
vs
Washington: 22.0
Power Play % (L5)
+2.4%
Nashville: 30.9%
vs
Washington: 28.5%
Hits (L5)
+17.6% more
Washington: 22.1
vs
Nashville: 18.2
Takeaways (L5)
+15.0% more
Washington: 4.8
vs
Nashville: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
2.3
4
NSH Score
3.4
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 16.3
15.0 / 27.0
Faceoff %
46.7 / 52.0
51.0 / 49.0
Hits
18.2 / 22.1
18.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
30.9 / 28.5
33.3 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 22.0
33.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.8
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
WSH
NSH
WSH
ML
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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