BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
13-24 | Road
105
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
21-15 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
NUGGETS
0%
NETS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
BKN By 1-7 points
16.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.2%
DEN By 1-7 points
26.5%
DEN By 8-14 points
24.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
107.28
BROOKLYN
Denver
113.88
DENVER
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
93
BROOKLYN
Denver
106
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.6
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 199.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
BKN @ DEN
103 - 107
Jan 4, 2026
DEN @ BKN
115 - 127
Jan 10, 2025
BKN @ DEN
105 - 124
Oct 29, 2024
DEN @ BKN
144 - 139
Dec 22, 2023
DEN @ BKN
122 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.6% more
Denver: 4.9
vs
Brooklyn: 3.4
Assists (L5)
+25.6% more
Denver: 29.9
vs
Brooklyn: 23.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Denver: 49.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 41.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Denver: 40.8%
vs
Brooklyn: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
107.3
105
DEN Score
113.9
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 32.7
37.5 / 31.1
Assists
29.9 / 23.8
34.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.9 / 3.4
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 41.3
51.7 / 42.2
Free Throw %
75.0 / 78.8
75.8 / 78.9
Rebounding
45.6 / 42.4
49.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.8 / 8.3
12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 16.0
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
BKN
DEN
BKN
ML
54%
57-48
53%
50-45
55%
47-39
59%
48-34
ATS
63%
65-38-2
52%
48-44-3
55%
47-39
59%
48-34
TTL
54%
56-48-1
57%
54-41
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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