VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
18-12-10 | Road
0
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
25-15-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Tokarski
#34 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 2.07 | 0.900 | -- |
| Dustin Tokarski | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.07
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.900
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
HURRICANES
100%
CANUCKS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1 goal
17.8%
VAN By 2-3 goals
19.5%
CAR By 1 goal
17.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.58
VANCOUVER
Carolina
2.5
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
CAR @ VAN
6 - 4
Nov 14, 2025
VAN @ CAR
3 - 4
Jan 10, 2025
VAN @ CAR
0 - 2
Oct 28, 2024
CAR @ VAN
4 - 3
Feb 6, 2024
VAN @ CAR
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+41.7% more
Vancouver: 32.6
vs
Carolina: 19.0
Takeaways (L5)
+39.4% more
Vancouver: 6.7
vs
Carolina: 4.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.8% more
Vancouver: 16.8
vs
Carolina: 12.0
Power Play % (L5)
+20.2%
Vancouver: 22.5%
vs
Carolina: 2.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.6
0
CAR Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 16.8
27.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
53.8 / 47.9
46.7 / 53.3
Hits
19.0 / 32.6
10.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
232.0 / 2249.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.0 / 25.6
20.0 / 14.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 6.7
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
VAN
CAR
VAN
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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