ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
17-18-5 | Road
2
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
19-19-4 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 12.84 | 0.727 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 2.00 | 0.913 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
12.84
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.727
Save %
Ldr 0.913
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
BLUES
0%
DUCKS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
ANA By 1 goal
12.5%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.9%
STL By 1 goal
19.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
28.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.36
ANAHEIM
St. Louis
3.29
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
St. Louis
9
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -6.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 12.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
STL @ ANA
6 - 2
Mar 8, 2026
STL @ ANA
4 - 0
Dec 1, 2025
ANA @ STL
4 - 1
Mar 16, 2025
ANA @ STL
2 - 7
Mar 7, 2025
STL @ ANA
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+27.7%
St. Louis: 52.3%
vs
Anaheim: 24.6%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.9% more
St. Louis: 30.7
vs
Anaheim: 27.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.3%
St. Louis: 54.9%
vs
Anaheim: 48.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+45.1% more
Anaheim: 6.7
vs
St. Louis: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.4
2
STL Score
3.3
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 17.2
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.9 / 48.6
53.8 / 46.2
Hits
23.5 / 25.4
28.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
5232.0 / 2461.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.7 / 27.7
34.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 6.7
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
ANA
STL
ANA
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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