COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
25-16-1 | Road
6
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
26-11-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 1.00 | 0.960 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 6.00 | 0.778 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
6.00
0.960 Ldr
Save %
0.778
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
WILD
100%
AVALANCHE
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.4%
COL By 2-3 goals
25.5%
MIN By 1 goal
14.3%
MIN By 2-3 goals
12.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.77
COLORADO
Minnesota
2.15
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 13, 2026
MIN @ COL
3 - 4
May 11, 2026
COL @ MIN
5 - 2
May 9, 2026
COL @ MIN
1 - 5
May 5, 2026
MIN @ COL
2 - 5
May 3, 2026
MIN @ COL
6 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.5% more
Colorado: 32.4
vs
Minnesota: 28.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.0%
Colorado: 46.6%
vs
Minnesota: 43.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+54.3% more
Minnesota: 5.0
vs
Colorado: 3.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.1% more
Minnesota: 16.4
vs
Colorado: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.8
6
MIN Score
2.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 13.8
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
43.6 / 46.6
57.9 / 42.1
Hits
20.3 / 17.4
18.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
1290.0 / 825.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 32.4
25.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 3.3
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
COL
MIN
COL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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