Home / NFL Projections NFL / Vikings @ Rams MIN @ LAR

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

14-3  |  Road

9
FINAL
Mon, Jan 13 • 8:00 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

10-7  |  Home

27
Key Game
Will Reichard
KEY GAME

Will Reichard

#16 | Place kicker
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Will Reichard None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
VIKINGS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.2 points (Los Angeles)
VikingsMIN (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

30.3%

Rams Cover

69.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAR -7.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

MIN By 1-6 points

12.7%

MIN By 7-13 points

9.4%

LAR By 1-6 points

16.4%

LAR By 7-13 points

19.4%

AI Model Projected Score
20.21
MINNESOTA
27.45
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
MINNESOTA
31
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.2
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 47.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 13, 2025 MIN @ LAR 9 - 27
Oct 24, 2024 MIN @ LAR 20 - 30
Dec 26, 2021 LAR @ MIN 30 - 23
Sep 27, 2018 MIN @ LAR 31 - 38
Nov 19, 2017 LAR @ MIN 7 - 24
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +10.5% more
Minnesota: 20.0 vs Los Angeles: 17.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 20.2 9
LAR Score 27.5 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.9 / 20.0 16.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards 230.2 / 236.8 202.0 / 163.0
Rushing Yards 100.8 / 99.4 90.0 / 106.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.2 / 0.35
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 330.9 / 336.2 292.0 / 269.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 0.5 0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 5.2 5.7 / 3.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
MIN
LAR
MIN
ML
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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