DETROIT
PISTONSDET
18-18 | Road
113
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
13-23 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
NETS
100%
PISTONS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
25.9%
DET By 8-14 points
16.4%
BKN By 1-7 points
24.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
106.44
DETROIT
Brooklyn
105.77
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Detroit
112
DETROIT
Brooklyn
109
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.7
D
Sim
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 212.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
DET @ BKN
138 - 100
Mar 7, 2026
BKN @ DET
107 - 105
Feb 1, 2026
BKN @ DET
77 - 130
Nov 7, 2025
DET @ BKN
125 - 107
Mar 1, 2025
BKN @ DET
94 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.0% more
Detroit: 10.0
vs
Brooklyn: 7.5
Blocks (L5)
+17.2% more
Detroit: 3.8
vs
Brooklyn: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Detroit: 78.0%
vs
Brooklyn: 72.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Detroit: 46.4%
vs
Brooklyn: 42.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
106.4
113
BKN Score
105.8
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 35.3
33.3 / 40.5
Assists
23.7 / 24.4
24.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.8
4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 46.4
38.4 / 52.3
Free Throw %
72.9 / 78.0
90.5 / 66.7
Rebounding
44.5 / 45.9
38.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.5 / 10.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 15.1
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
DET
BKN
DET
ML
53%
50-45
55%
64-53
59%
48-34
49%
47-49
ATS
52%
48-44-3
53%
60-54-3
59%
48-34
49%
47-49
TTL
57%
54-41
60%
70-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
96-0
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