LA
CLIPPERSLAC
20-16 | Road
103
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
20-15 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
NUGGETS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
10.7%
DEN By 1-7 points
27.2%
DEN By 8-14 points
20.2%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
114.72
LA
Denver
117.74
DENVER
Simulated Score
LA
109
LA
Denver
113
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.0% more
Denver: 30.3
vs
LA: 25.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
Denver: 80.2%
vs
LA: 76.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Denver: 36.8%
vs
LA: 34.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+27.2% more
LA: 16.0
vs
Denver: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
114.7
103
DEN Score
117.7
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 34.0
48.6 / 28.9
Assists
30.3 / 25.5
29.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.9 / 5.5
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 46.0
55.1 / 37.5
Free Throw %
80.2 / 76.0
64.7 / 80.0
Rebounding
45.9 / 46.0
45.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.1 / 9.9
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 16.0
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
LAC
DEN
LAC
ML
54%
57-48
60%
59-40
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
56-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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