VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
18-12-9 | Road
1
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
26-10-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 1.88 | 0.889 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 0.93 | 0.968 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.88
GAA
Ldr 0.93
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.968
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
CANUCKS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
VAN By 1 goal
16.4%
VAN By 2-3 goals
16.2%
WSH By 1 goal
18.4%
WSH By 2-3 goals
21.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.5
VANCOUVER
Washington
2.73
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
WSH @ VAN
3 - 4
Oct 19, 2025
VAN @ WSH
4 - 3
Jan 25, 2025
WSH @ VAN
1 - 2
Jan 8, 2025
VAN @ WSH
1 - 2
Mar 16, 2024
WSH @ VAN
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+24.1%
Washington: 45.4%
vs
Vancouver: 21.2%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.4% more
Washington: 27.7
vs
Vancouver: 22.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.3%
Washington: 52.4%
vs
Vancouver: 48.2%
Hits (L5)
+40.3% more
Vancouver: 35.3
vs
Washington: 21.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.5
1
WSH Score
2.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.7 / 16.2
13.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
52.4 / 48.2
52.7 / 47.3
Hits
21.1 / 35.3
20.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
45.4 / 21.2
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 22.9
18.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 5.0
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
VAN
WSH
VAN
ML
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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