DALLAS
STARSDAL
24-13-1 | Road
5
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
18-20-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.85 | 0.846 | -- |
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 4.82 | 0.872 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.85 Ldr
GAA
4.82
0.846
Save %
Ldr 0.872
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
RANGERS
0%
STARS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
DAL By 1 goal
16.8%
DAL By 2-3 goals
17.1%
NYR By 1 goal
18.1%
NYR By 2-3 goals
20.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
2.38
DALLAS
New York
2.53
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Dallas
4
DALLAS
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
NYR @ DAL
0 - 2
Dec 2, 2025
DAL @ NYR
2 - 3
Jan 7, 2025
DAL @ NYR
5 - 4
Dec 20, 2024
NYR @ DAL
3 - 1
Feb 20, 2024
DAL @ NYR
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+55.3% more
New York: 20.4
vs
Dallas: 13.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.7% more
New York: 14.5
vs
Dallas: 12.2
Power Play % (L5)
+4.7%
Dallas: 6.9%
vs
New York: 2.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.1%
Dallas: 54.7%
vs
New York: 52.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
2.4
5
NYR Score
2.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.5 / 12.2
19.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
52.7 / 54.7
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
20.4 / 13.1
25.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
2.2 / 6.9
50.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
31.9 / 29.9
26.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 3.5
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
DAL
NYR
DAL
ML
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
33%
1-2
ATS
80%
4-1
0%
0-3
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List