OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
19-17-2 | Road
2
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
17-18-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Vladimir Tarasenko
#91 | RW@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Tarasenko | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
RED WINGS
100%
SENATORS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.9%
DET By 1 goal
11.9%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.95
OTTAWA
Detroit
1.92
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 24, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
DET @ OTT
2 - 1
Jan 18, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
DET @ OTT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+39.0% more
Ottawa: 24.0
vs
Detroit: 14.6
Takeaways (L5)
+94.8% more
Detroit: 5.7
vs
Ottawa: 2.9
Power Play % (L5)
+39.2%
Detroit: 52.2%
vs
Ottawa: 12.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.4% more
Detroit: 26.5
vs
Ottawa: 23.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.0
2
DET Score
1.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 15.4
18.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.2 / 49.3
55.6 / 44.4
Hits
14.6 / 24.0
18.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
52.2 / 12.9
66.7 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 23.4
33.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.7 / 2.9
4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
OTT
DET
OTT
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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