CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
18-14-7 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
17-18-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pavel Mintyukov
#98 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 1.93 | 0.929 | -- |
| Pavel Mintyukov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.93
GAA
--
0.929
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
DUCKS
100%
FLAMES
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
31.4%
ANA By 1 goal
11.0%
ANA By 2-3 goals
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3.15
CALGARY
Anaheim
1.96
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
CGY @ ANA
5 - 3
Mar 26, 2026
ANA @ CGY
3 - 2
Mar 1, 2026
CGY @ ANA
2 - 3
Jan 25, 2026
ANA @ CGY
4 - 3
Apr 9, 2025
CGY @ ANA
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+24.0% more
Calgary: 6.6
vs
Anaheim: 5.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.0%
Calgary: 48.6%
vs
Anaheim: 45.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+74.7% more
Anaheim: 18.9
vs
Calgary: 10.8
Hits (L5)
+20.9% more
Anaheim: 26.2
vs
Calgary: 21.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.2
3
ANA Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.9 / 10.8
14.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
45.6 / 48.6
54.5 / 45.5
Hits
26.2 / 21.6
24.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
11.9 / 10.6
50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.5 / 29.7
28.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 6.6
10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
CGY
ANA
CGY
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…