PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
15-18 | Road
109
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
14-19 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
76ERS
0%
SUNS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHX By 1-7 points
24.9%
PHX By 8-14 points
14.6%
PHI By 1-7 points
25.7%
PHI By 8-14 points
16.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
110.74
PHOENIX
Philadelphia
111.16
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Phoenix
114
PHOENIX
Philadelphia
116
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
PHI @ PHX
109 - 103
Jan 20, 2026
PHX @ PHI
116 - 110
Jan 6, 2025
PHX @ PHI
109 - 99
Nov 4, 2024
PHI @ PHX
116 - 118
Mar 20, 2024
PHI @ PHX
102 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+61.6% more
Philadelphia: 11.1
vs
Phoenix: 6.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Philadelphia: 47.9%
vs
Phoenix: 45.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.5%
Philadelphia: 36.4%
vs
Phoenix: 34.9%
Blocks (L5)
+47.6% more
Phoenix: 7.8
vs
Philadelphia: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
110.7
109
PHI Score
111.2
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 34.9
37.5 / 45.2
Assists
24.2 / 27.2
20.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.1 / 7.8
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 45.9
39.1 / 50.6
Free Throw %
82.8 / 83.6
61.5 / 68.4
Rebounding
39.8 / 40.5
46.0 / 44.0
Steals
11.1 / 6.9
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 14.4
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
PHX
PHI
PHX
ML
63%
69-40
57%
60-45
48%
45-48
51%
45-43
ATS
65%
71-38
58%
59-43-3
48%
45-48
51%
45-43
TTL
55%
60-49
59%
61-42-2
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
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