INDIANA
PACERSIND
18-18 | Road
113
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
13-22 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
0%
NETS
100%
PACERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IND -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
IND By 1-7 points
26.9%
IND By 8-14 points
24.2%
BKN By 1-7 points
17.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
112.08
INDIANA
Brooklyn
106.1
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Indiana
115
INDIANA
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pacers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pacers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Pacers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
IND @ BKN
123 - 94
Feb 11, 2026
IND @ BKN
115 - 110
Nov 5, 2025
BKN @ IND
112 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
BKN @ IND
103 - 108
Mar 20, 2025
BKN @ IND
99 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.6% more
Indiana: 4.5
vs
Brooklyn: 3.2
Assists (L5)
+24.0% more
Indiana: 31.6
vs
Brooklyn: 24.0
Rebounding (L5)
+8.9% more
Indiana: 45.4
vs
Brooklyn: 41.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Indiana: 48.8%
vs
Brooklyn: 43.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
112.1
113
BKN Score
106.1
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 37.9
30.3 / 38.7
Assists
24.0 / 31.6
23.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.5
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 48.8
41.8 / 50.6
Free Throw %
77.5 / 75.2
63.6 / 91.3
Rebounding
41.3 / 45.4
51.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.2
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
17.7 / 10.4
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
IND
BKN
IND
ML
53%
50-45
48%
47-50
59%
48-34
54%
45-38
ATS
52%
48-44-3
59%
57-40
59%
48-34
54%
45-38
TTL
57%
54-41
54%
52-45
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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