LA
CLIPPERSLAC
20-15 | Road
106
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
17-17 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
CLIPPERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.1
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -5.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
LAC By 1-7 points
18.4%
LAC By 8-14 points
7.9%
MIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
23.2%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
105.64
LA
Minnesota
110.76
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
LA
117
LA
Minnesota
123
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.1
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
MIN @ LAC
128 - 153
Feb 26, 2026
MIN @ LAC
94 - 88
Feb 8, 2026
LAC @ MIN
115 - 96
Dec 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 109
Jan 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.4% more
Minnesota: 4.3
vs
LA: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.6%
Minnesota: 83.7%
vs
LA: 74.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Minnesota: 41.9%
vs
LA: 33.9%
Steals (L5)
+50.8% more
LA: 10.4
vs
Minnesota: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
105.6
106
MIN Score
110.8
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.9 / 33.9
41.0 / 34.3
Assists
22.5 / 26.7
24.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.2
5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 48.3
44.6 / 41.6
Free Throw %
83.7 / 74.0
58.8 / 80.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 44.5
55.0 / 49.0
Steals
5.1 / 10.4
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 17.5
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAC
MIN
LAC
ML
54%
63-53
60%
59-40
54%
50-43
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
67-49
66%
65-33-1
54%
50-43
55%
45-37
TTL
63%
72-43-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
93-0
100%
82-0
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