NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

14-18-7  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Jan 5 • 6:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

20-17-4  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Nikita Zadorov
GOALTENDER

Nikita Zadorov

#91 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 3.80 0.867 --
Nikita Zadorov None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.80 GAA --
0.867 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
ISLANDERS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Boston)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

23.6%

Bruins Cover

76.4%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

NYI By 1 goal

9.5%

NYI By 2-3 goals

6.4%

BOS By 1 goal

19.3%

BOS By 2-3 goals

33.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.35
NEW YORK
3.79
BOSTON
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 BOS @ NYI 3 - 1
Nov 4, 2025 BOS @ NYI 4 - 3
Oct 28, 2025 NYI @ BOS 2 - 5
Feb 27, 2025 NYI @ BOS 2 - 1
Jan 5, 2025 NYI @ BOS 5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +18.8% more
Boston: 7.3 vs New York: 6.2
Hits (L5) +18.2% more
Boston: 21.4 vs New York: 18.1
Power Play % (L5) +1.9%
Boston: 2.6% vs New York: 0.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 2.4 5
BOS Score 3.8 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.5 / 13.9 22.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 51.1 / 50.8 48.2 / 51.8
Hits 21.4 / 18.1 31.0 / 14.0
Power Play % 257.0 / 63.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 29.4 / 31.6 30.0 / 37.0
Takeaways 7.3 / 6.2 9.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
84%MONEY16%