Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Nets PHI @ BKN

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

13-19  |  Road

123
FINAL
Sat, Jan 4 • 6:00 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

13-21  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
NETS
100%
76ERS --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.2 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

70.0%

Nets Cover

30.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -5.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

27.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

23.3%

BKN By 1-7 points

18.2%

BKN By 8-14 points

7.7%

AI Model Projected Score
108.46
PHILADELPHIA
103.23
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
115
PHILADELPHIA
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.2
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 211.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 BKN @ PHI 97 - 104
Dec 23, 2025 BKN @ PHI 114 - 106
Nov 28, 2025 PHI @ BKN 115 - 103
Nov 2, 2025 PHI @ BKN 129 - 105
Feb 22, 2025 BKN @ PHI 105 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +45.2% more
Philadelphia: 5.1 vs Brooklyn: 2.8
Steals (L5) +29.2% more
Philadelphia: 11.2 vs Brooklyn: 7.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Philadelphia: 35.8% vs Brooklyn: 33.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Philadelphia: 46.3% vs Brooklyn: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 108.5 123
BKN Score 103.2 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 35.8 34.1 / 37.5
Assists 25.0 / 20.8 22.0 / 31.0
Blocks 2.8 / 5.1 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 46.3 41.5 / 51.2
Free Throw % 84.7 / 84.1 63.2 / 80.0
Rebounding 42.5 / 34.8 39.0 / 50.0
Steals 7.9 / 11.2 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 13.7 22.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
PHI
BKN
PHI
ML
53% 50-45
63% 69-40
59% 48-34
48% 45-48
ATS
52% 48-44-3
65% 71-38
59% 48-34
48% 45-48
TTL
57% 54-41
55% 60-49
100% 82-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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