ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
18-17 | Road
105
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
19-15 | Home
131
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
HAWKS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
27.0%
ATL By 8-14 points
19.2%
LAC By 1-7 points
22.5%
LAC By 8-14 points
11.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
114.27
ATLANTA
LA
111.86
LA
Simulated Score
Atlanta
102
ATLANTA
LA
116
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.4
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
LAC @ ATL
115 - 92
Nov 10, 2025
ATL @ LAC
105 - 102
Mar 14, 2025
LAC @ ATL
121 - 98
Jan 4, 2025
ATL @ LAC
105 - 131
Mar 17, 2024
ATL @ LAC
110 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.1% more
Atlanta: 11.6
vs
LA: 8.1
Blocks (L5)
+27.7% more
Atlanta: 4.6
vs
LA: 3.3
Assists (L5)
+22.6% more
Atlanta: 28.5
vs
LA: 22.1
Turnovers (L5)
+37.7% more
LA: 17.8
vs
Atlanta: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
114.3
105
LAC Score
111.9
131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 31.4
36.1 / 34.8
Assists
22.1 / 28.5
36.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 45.7
55.2 / 43.2
Free Throw %
75.7 / 76.0
70.6 / 76.5
Rebounding
42.7 / 42.1
48.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.1 / 11.6
15.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 12.9
17.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
ATL
LAC
ATL
ML
60%
59-40
50%
52-52
55%
45-37
55%
48-40
ATS
66%
65-33-1
53%
55-48-1
55%
45-37
55%
48-40
TTL
59%
58-40-1
53%
55-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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