MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
24-11-4 | Road
4
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
23-13-2 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 3.02 | 0.885 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
3.02
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.885
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
HURRICANES
0%
WILD
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
MIN By 1 goal
14.6%
MIN By 2-3 goals
12.9%
CAR By 1 goal
19.3%
CAR By 2-3 goals
25.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.14
MINNESOTA
Carolina
2.71
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
CAR @ MIN
3 - 4
Nov 6, 2025
MIN @ CAR
3 - 4
Feb 6, 2025
CAR @ MIN
1 - 2
Jan 4, 2025
MIN @ CAR
4 - 0
Feb 27, 2024
CAR @ MIN
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+72.2% more
Carolina: 29.0
vs
Minnesota: 16.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.5% more
Carolina: 35.9
vs
Minnesota: 30.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.3%
Carolina: 48.8%
vs
Minnesota: 46.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+23.6% more
Minnesota: 6.1
vs
Carolina: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.1
4
CAR Score
2.7
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.1 / 14.1
12.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 46.5
61.3 / 38.7
Hits
29.0 / 16.8
11.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
11.7 / 12.4
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
35.9 / 30.8
21.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 6.1
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
MIN
CAR
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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