CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
7-25 | Road
94
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
15-18 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
PISTONS
0%
HORNETS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -3.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CHA By 1-7 points
20.9%
CHA By 8-14 points
10.0%
DET By 1-7 points
27.3%
DET By 8-14 points
20.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
105.91
CHARLOTTE
Detroit
109.38
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Charlotte
108
CHARLOTTE
Detroit
115
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.5
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 215.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
DET @ CHA
118 - 100
Feb 9, 2026
DET @ CHA
110 - 104
Dec 20, 2025
CHA @ DET
86 - 112
Feb 9, 2025
CHA @ DET
102 - 112
Jan 3, 2025
CHA @ DET
94 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+12.9% more
Detroit: 26.5
vs
Charlotte: 23.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Detroit: 37.9%
vs
Charlotte: 29.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Detroit: 49.0%
vs
Charlotte: 41.3%
Blocks (L5)
+36.6% more
Charlotte: 5.1
vs
Detroit: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
105.9
94
DET Score
109.4
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 29.4
32.4 / 30.0
Assists
26.5 / 23.5
21.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.3 / 5.1
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 41.3
41.9 / 41.3
Free Throw %
75.3 / 76.3
61.5 / 63.3
Rebounding
43.6 / 49.2
51.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.1
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 15.6
15.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHA
DET
CHA
ML
55%
64-53
61%
60-39
49%
47-49
48%
40-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
60%
59-40
49%
47-49
48%
40-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
58%
57-42
100%
96-0
100%
84-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up