ORLANDO
MAGICORL
20-15 | Road
106
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
8-26 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
RAPTORS
100%
MAGIC
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
26.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
24.3%
TOR By 1-7 points
16.9%
TOR By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
107.35
ORLANDO
Toronto
101.31
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
Toronto
114
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 208.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
ORL @ TOR
87 - 139
Jan 30, 2026
TOR @ ORL
120 - 130
Dec 29, 2025
ORL @ TOR
106 - 107
Mar 4, 2025
TOR @ ORL
114 - 113
Mar 2, 2025
TOR @ ORL
104 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.9% more
Orlando: 11.5
vs
Toronto: 8.2
Blocks (L5)
+8.7% more
Orlando: 5.0
vs
Toronto: 4.5
Assists (L5)
+35.2% more
Toronto: 29.4
vs
Orlando: 21.8
Turnovers (L5)
+14.3% more
Toronto: 17.6
vs
Orlando: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
107.4
106
TOR Score
101.3
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 27.7
34.5 / 43.2
Assists
29.4 / 21.8
28.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.5 / 5.0
1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 42.3
47.5 / 46.8
Free Throw %
75.8 / 76.5
84.6 / 76.5
Rebounding
41.9 / 37.6
37.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.2 / 11.5
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
17.6 / 15.4
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
ORL
TOR
ORL
ML
55%
57-47
61%
65-42
55%
48-39
56%
51-40
ATS
61%
62-40-2
64%
68-38-1
55%
48-39
56%
51-40
TTL
60%
62-42
57%
61-46
100%
87-0
100%
91-0
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