PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
17-17-5 | Road
2
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
23-14-2 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Owen Pickering
#38 | D@
GOALTENDER
Dmitry Kulikov
#7 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Pickering | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dmitry Kulikov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
PENGUINS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
PIT By 1 goal
13.3%
PIT By 2-3 goals
10.9%
FLA By 1 goal
19.6%
FLA By 2-3 goals
27.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2.53
PITTSBURGH
Florida
3.33
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
FLA @ PIT
2 - 5
Apr 4, 2026
FLA @ PIT
4 - 9
Oct 23, 2025
PIT @ FLA
5 - 3
Mar 23, 2025
PIT @ FLA
3 - 4
Jan 3, 2025
PIT @ FLA
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+77.2% more
Florida: 26.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.3%
Florida: 52.5%
vs
Pittsburgh: 48.1%
Power Play % (L5)
+41.6%
Pittsburgh: 49.6%
vs
Florida: 8.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+22.2% more
Pittsburgh: 4.8
vs
Florida: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.5
2
FLA Score
3.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 15.1
12.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
52.5 / 48.1
51.7 / 48.3
Hits
26.1 / 14.7
28.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
8.0 / 49.6
33.3 / 28.6
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 27.6
33.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 4.8
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
PIT
FLA
PIT
ML
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
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