OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
19-16-2 | Road
0
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
18-17-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
BLUES
100%
SENATORS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
18.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
22.3%
STL By 1 goal
15.9%
STL By 2-3 goals
15.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.84
OTTAWA
St. Louis
2.51
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
STL @ OTT
2 - 1
Nov 28, 2025
OTT @ STL
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
OTT @ STL
1 - 7
Jan 3, 2025
OTT @ STL
0 - 4
Oct 29, 2024
STL @ OTT
1 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.0% more
Ottawa: 15.1
vs
St. Louis: 11.9
Hits (L5)
+8.4% more
Ottawa: 22.5
vs
St. Louis: 20.6
Takeaways (L5)
+24.7% more
St. Louis: 4.2
vs
Ottawa: 3.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.6% more
St. Louis: 29.2
vs
Ottawa: 25.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.8
0
STL Score
2.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.9 / 15.1
13.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
53.0 / 50.3
52.7 / 47.3
Hits
20.6 / 22.5
16.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
2659.0 / 1936.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 25.0
25.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 3.4
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
OTT
STL
OTT
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
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