ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
16-17-4 | Road
2
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
22-12-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.08 | 0.885 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.08
GAA
--
0.885
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
OILERS
0%
DUCKS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
ANA By 1 goal
6.4%
ANA By 2-3 goals
3.6%
EDM By 1 goal
17.3%
EDM By 2-3 goals
37.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.23
ANAHEIM
Edmonton
4.27
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Edmonton
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
EDM @ ANA
5 - 2
Apr 30, 2026
EDM @ ANA
2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026
ANA @ EDM
1 - 4
Apr 24, 2026
EDM @ ANA
4 - 7
Apr 22, 2026
ANA @ EDM
6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+93.8% more
Edmonton: 6.2
vs
Anaheim: 3.2
Power Play % (L5)
+25.8%
Edmonton: 27.6%
vs
Anaheim: 1.8%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.4% more
Edmonton: 30.5
vs
Anaheim: 27.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
Edmonton: 48.3%
vs
Anaheim: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.2
2
EDM Score
4.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.6 / 18.4
14.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.3 / 44.9
60.8 / 39.2
Hits
9.9 / 28.6
3.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
27.6 / 1.8
100.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.5 / 27.8
26.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 3.2
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
ANA
EDM
ANA
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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